#science

Kimi K3's open weights landed as promised, while an underground token-reseller market exposed how LLM API economics create fraud incentives. In pharma, argenx paid $2.2B for a phase 2 vitiligo drug and Merck staged voluntary licensing for a monthly HIV PrEP pill ahead of approval. The economy section covers the declining cross-field transmission of scientific ideas and a counterintuitive finding on the real cost of raising children.

Anthropic's Claude Sonnet 5 shipped on June 30 and Fable 5 returned globally on July 1 after the Department of Commerce lifted export controls that had restricted access for 19 days. Cloudflare declared a second Content Independence Day, launching a Monetization Gateway that lets site owners charge AI agents for any resource via stablecoin settlement over the x402 protocol, and released new granular controls to distinguish search bots from training bots. The FDA granted a historic clearance to an LLM-based diabetes management app, prompting debate about whether the model is an interface or a clinical decision-maker. Biotech stocks have now rallied for 15 consecutive months. The U.S. Department of Transportation proposed the first update to supersonic flight rules since the 1970s, opening the door to civilian supersonic travel.

OpenAI quietly launched GPT-5.6 in three tiers (Sol, Terra, Luna) restricted to trusted partners, while Semgrep reported that GLM 5.2 outperforms Claude on its internal cybersecurity benchmarks. Portugal's National Health Service contracted Sword Health to deliver AI-assisted physical therapy nationwide, the first country-scale deployment of its kind. Edison Scientific and Population Health Partners announced a deal to use AI agents for end-to-end drug discovery. Patrick Boyle assessed Brexit's 10-year economic toll, and Noah Smith examined whether AI will push companies toward more or less outsourcing.

Anthropic accused Alibaba of illicitly extracting Claude's model capabilities, drawing 829 Hacker News comments and raising fresh questions about AI IP enforcement. OpenAI unveiled Jalapeño, its first custom inference chip built with Broadcom, a move that reshapes its dependency on Nvidia. GLM-5.2 crossed a threshold Nathan Lambert called the step change for open agents. Google introduced computer use in Gemini 3.5 Flash, and U.S. health spending rose 7.3% in 2025, driven by GLP-1 drug adoption and higher care utilization. A bipartisan bill would expand methadone access by letting physicians prescribe it outside specialty clinics.

Z.ai released GLM-5.2, a 753-billion-parameter open-weights LLM under MIT license, which Simon Willison called the most powerful text-only open-weights model available. Separately, a White House report on the Fable 5 export control jailbreak drew pushback from cybersecurity expert Kate Moussouris, who said the restriction harms US cyber defense. OpenAI and Molecule.one published results from a near-autonomous AI chemist using GPT-5.4 that improved a challenging medicinal chemistry reaction. In pharma, nitazene overdose deaths confirmed by the CDC rose from 27 in 2020 to 409 in 2024, while the FTC and four state AGs sued WPATH over its gender-affirming care standards. Tyler Cowen flagged new research showing AI-native startups are organized differently from conventional venture-backed firms, drawing on Y Combinator data from 2020 to 2024.

The US government issued an export control directive suspending all access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for foreign nationals, a move that rattled the AI industry and prompted Tyler Cowen to note the equilibrium was hard to solve for. Separately, Arvind Narayanan and Sayash Kappoor published a detailed argument that software engineers won't be replaced by AI, citing task fragmentation and the compounding cost of errors. The FDA approved Sanofi's teplizumab for children with stage 3 type 1 diabetes after it cleared a dispute between career staff and political appointees. Noah Smith asked whether Chinese corporate debt could zombify the economy, while Patrick Boyle examined how SpaceX humiliated Wall Street by retaining founder control across 25x more fundraising than typical startups.

Microsoft unveiled two proprietary MAI models at Build, including a 1-trillion-parameter reasoning model and a 137B coding model for GitHub Copilot, as Uber hit its AI budget ceiling after burning through its full 2026 allocation in four months. Alnylam struck a $2 billion deal with Inceptive Nucleics to build AI foundation models for RNA interference therapeutics. Trump signed a narrower AI oversight executive order requiring a 30-day review before powerful open-weight models can be released. The Trump administration also moved to strip job protections from roughly 8,000 NIH staff, including officials who oversee research grants, while Medicaid work requirements drew criticism for going beyond what advocates had anticipated.

An OpenAI reasoning model disproved an 80-year-old Erdős conjecture in discrete geometry for under $1,000 in compute, a result mathematicians are calling one of the most significant AI contributions to pure math to date. Eli Lilly's retatrutide, a triple-receptor obesity drug, produced bariatric-surgery-level weight loss in a Phase 3 trial, though dropout rates from side effects were notable. Google shipped Gemini 3.5 Flash to general availability at Google I/O and announced a $100 AI Ultra subscription tier. The acting head of NIH's infectious disease institute stepped down as senators pressed NIH Director Jay Bhattacharya on leadership gaps and a proposed 2027 budget cut. Kevin Warsh was confirmed and sworn in as the new Federal Reserve chair this week.

The FDA's leadership vacuum deepened this week as the drug center head followed Commissioner Makary out the door, leaving the agency with no confirmed leadership at its two most critical posts. Open-weight models kept multiplying with Gemma 4, DeepSeek V4, and Kimi K2.6 all dropping in the same month, while Sebastian Raschka's analysis of new KV-sharing and compressed attention techniques explains why long-context costs are falling fast. A rare Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in Congo's Ituri province prompted a WHO public health emergency declaration, and the WHO's move landed as hantavirus conspiracy theories were already cycling through social media. On the economy side, Trump's China visit produced mixed signals on decoupling, while Noah Smith argued that Europe's comfortable stagnation is no longer viable.